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Training Science

The Problem with Medium

Most amateurs ride their easy days too hard and their hard days too easy. Here's what the intensity distribution research actually says, including the part that usually gets left out.

There’s a pace that feels productive. Not easy, not brutal. You get home tired, the file looks respectable, and you could do it again tomorrow. Most people do.

That pace is the most common way an endurance athlete stalls out for a year without noticing.

What the fast ones actually do

When Stephen Seiler and Glenn Kjerland followed junior cross-country skiers and counted where the training hours actually went, the distribution came out lopsided. About three quarters of the time sat below the first lactate turn point, at intensities the athletes themselves called easy. The hard work was there, but it was a small and very sharp minority of the total. Go looking in rowing, running, swimming or cycling and roughly the same shape keeps turning up.

Then people tested it head to head. Esteve-Lanao and colleagues took twelve subelite runners and split them for five months. One group put 81% of its time below threshold. The other doubled the time spent between thresholds. Both did the same small amount of genuinely hard work. Over 10 km of cross country, the easy-heavy group improved by about 35 seconds more.

Stöggl and Sperlich ran a bigger version, 48 well-trained athletes across four different distributions for nine weeks. The polarized group gained around 12% in VO2peak and 17% in time to exhaustion. The threshold group and the high-volume group barely moved.

The part people leave out

80/20 has become a slogan, and slogans get sloppy. There’s a live argument in the literature about whether the top of the pyramid should be a spike of very hard work or a band of moderate work. Burnley, Bearden and Jones published a flat rejection of the polarized model in 2022, arguing that a pyramidal shape, with more time just under threshold and less at the extreme, suits most athletes better. Foster’s group wrote back. It got spicy.

Read both sides and notice what nobody is arguing about. Every camp agrees the base is huge and easy. The fight is over the shape of the top fifth, not over whether the bottom four fifths should exist. There is no serious school of thought that says the answer is to spend your week at a steady, moderately uncomfortable pace.

Why it happens anyway

Because medium is emotionally efficient. Easy riding feels like wasting a morning, so the endurance ride drifts up ten watts, then twenty. Meanwhile the interval day starts on legs that are already two thirds spent, so the hard efforts land softer than the plan said. Both ends collapse toward the middle and you get a week of tempo wearing two different costumes.

The cost isn’t obvious for a while. You’ll hold decent form. You just stop getting faster, because nothing in the week is far enough from your normal to register as a signal.

What to actually do

Pick a ceiling for your easy days and defend it. If you can’t get a full sentence out without a breath in the middle, you’re above it. Treat the prescribed pace as a ceiling rather than a target, which for most people means going slower than pride allows for about a month before it stops feeling wrong.

Then make the hard days earn the name. Two a week is plenty. If they’re genuinely hard they’ll feel like a different sport from the rest of the week, and that contrast is the whole mechanism.

Allure grades every session against your own critical power instead of a population chart, so “easy” is a real number for you rather than a feeling, and the weekly view shows where your time actually went. People are usually surprised the first time they see it. The gray zone is quiet, and it’s bigger than you’d guess.

Sources

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